RBS: Buy ringgit against won, yen

The bank recommends entering a three-month forward contract to sell the won at 339.36 per ringgit and the yen at 26.74 per ringgit

SINGAPORE: Investors should buy the ringgit against South Korea's won and Japan's yen as Malaysia's central bank may increase its policy rate as many as two more times in 2010, the Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc said.

Bank Negara Malaysia will continue reining in monetary stimulus after last week's rate increase, while government pressure will mean that the Korean and the Japanese central banks won't increase borrowing costs anytime soon, RBS, the fourth-largest currency trader, wrote in a research note published on Tuesday.

Malaysia's central bank will next review its policy on May 13.

"Bank Negara could do a few more rate hikes," RBS strategist Chia Woon Khien said in an interview in Singapore yesterday. "The question is whether they want to go straight to neutral level or stay a little dovish along the way."

Malaysia's central bank raised its benchmark overnight rate by 25 basis points to 2.25 per cent on March 4. The RBS report said there is "scope for at least one, if not two more, 25-basis point hikes" in the coming year. Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak said last week that Southeast Asia's third-largest economy may expand 6 per cent this year, twice the pace of the official forecast, on a rebound in exports.

The ringgit has risen 2.6 per cent this year against the dollar, the best performer among Asia's most active currencies excluding the yen. It climbed 0.6 per cent to 3.3230 at 12.10pm in Kuala Lumpur, the strongest level since August 2008.

The bank recommended entering a three-month forward contract to sell the won at 339.36 per ringgit, targeting the spot rate to reach 355 when the bet expires on June 9. RBS also suggested a similar forward bet at 26.74 yen per ringgit, predicting the spot rate at 28 upon the contract's maturity.